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Independent Reviews of Forex Systems, Forex Services, Horse Racing Services and Sports Betting Services

Mathematician Betting has been performing consistently as ever but, unfortunately, hasnt yet managed to come up with the detailed results they were hoping to produce. That said, though, they have come up with a very nice Cheltenham offer which comes with a money back guarantee and stretches into the Aintree festival.

A really cheap way to get a taste of this unique service – believe me there isnt another service i know of that is as committed to depth of analysis, delivering results for its customers and professionalism. Last years Cheltenham Festival was outstanding for this service so lets hope they can deliver again.

More details here


This service seems to be getting better week by week now – i’ve attached Mondays review below and also some news about how the daily message will be simplified in the near future plus a promise of a historical list of results. All seems very positive and a highly recommended service.

More details here

Mondays Review

There was no message yesterday which leaves
only Mondays excellent message to review and
that had two top of the message bets. The first
bet PARTY PALACE won at 8/1 having been as
big as 12/1 in earlier. The second bet AZRAEL
finished only second but that didn’t matter with
the saver Classic Colori winning. Plenty of big
analysis elsewhere with decent priced winners
so a brilliant day. Sometimes I torment myself
if winners are not given as full bets but I wasn’t
bothered both were the second tier bets. Thats
because the advice has always been that you
should stake these the same as the full bets.

That may sound contradictory but there is so
much evidence to suggest you do that. There
was also a good chance that I could have had
a different bet as I was looking at Scribe for a
bet with Azrael. That would have been a really
painful choice as they were 4th and 2nd so it
was really a very valuable decision to decide
to commit to PARTY PALACE. I’m trying my
best to limit these each way bets when they
are in the 3/1 to 9/2 range. Not because the
bets are wrong but when they lose they can
damage confidence more than usual and the
losing bets like that I find are psychologically
much harder to overcome. In the end we had
a great day and recent form has been strong.

S e r v i c e N e w s

I have started the slow process of simplifying
my messages. Making them shorter and just
clearer. I have to do that without impacting on
results but my form is excellent recently and
there is no sign of that being affected. I once
said that the service sometimes feels like I’m
driving a Double Decker bus full of members
at very fasts speed around a tight roundabout.

Some cope and find it thrilling. Others do not
and can suffer from force of gravity and that’s
why we can lose members who fall out of the
windows. I am trying to slow the bus down a
bit and keep it a lot simpler but it will take a
bit of time but results show it is worth doing.

We are also getting a detailed set of results
together to identify the good and bad. That’s
also going to take a bit of time but it will be
soon enough and will be fascinating reading.
In the meantime form is very strong and the
weather managable to I just want to start to
build up to Cheltenham and find some good
winners and carry on some consistent work.
This service has been underselling itself for
years and I want that to change and want it
to be more supportive to those who find the
service a little bit too complicated at times.


Mathematician Betting continues to be profitable for its subscribers. Another good week this week and I should keep on top of the reviews more because its a service that does deserve – without doubt the best horsse-racing service i’ve ever come across (not a great deal of competition though to be honest). The daily message can be whatever you want them to be – a full education on racing stats in general and theat particular days racing or just a service advising his daily bets.

I’ve copied this weeks reviews for a bit of an insight both into Guys results and the standards he sets himself to deliver for his subscribers.

More details here

F r i d a y ‘s R e v i e w

The message did well yesterday. Looking first at
the top of the message MALAYSIAN BOLEH won
beating the saver and that ensured a winning day.
Very frustrating to see his price collapse and one
or two bets have suffered from that recently but it
is not a trend and our prices tend to hold up well
overall. The second bet lost but SUN CLOUD ran
a lovely race in 2nd and SCHOTTISCHE only just
failed to land a nice place double by coming 4th.
The bottom of the message had a decent day as
the selections finished W L W W W L P L which
was more than good enough to call it a success.

Th u r s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

The top of the message had two bets yesterday from
the 14 previews. The first bet BURY PARADE lost in
a photo beaten by the only danger. Could have gone
either way but I dont think it was a bad bet and there
wasn’t much wrong with my analysis. The second bet
EXTREMELY ALERT each way placed. He ran a big
race but the winner was better. He was never in any
danger of being unplaced so the bet was never in real
danger but the price was dissapointing. What looks a
solid 4/1 each way in the morning suddenly turns into
a 5/2 chance and returns 2/1 and it starts to become
a poor bet unless you are on in the morning. Just one
of those horses whose price we couldnt control. Didnt
do much wrong with the two bets. Elsewhere results
the message was competetive without being stronger
than that. There were two races where we had stakes
returned so the other 12 previews returned 4 winners
and 8 losers. There was a big priced winner there so
we probably just won the day and when you consider
we had two photo finish defeats and a faller we didnt
do too badly in a message that tried to do too much.

W e d n e s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

I found yesterday very annoying. I went with a bet on
Annaluna each way. She ran well and at one stage I
thought she’s win but she didn’t get home and ended
up a frustrating 4th place. Thats not what annoys me.
I said yesterday I had good Kempton options but the
prices forced me to Ludlow. I liked Purple ‘n Gold and
wanted to bet him each way but forecast at 11/2 this
became only 11/4 mid morning and I didn’t go with a
bet on him as he was half the price. LITMUS was so
much more annoying. Bearing in mind she was only
a filly in a large field I wanted a decent price close to
the expected 6/1. By mid morning she was only 7/2
and they were taking that price and I questioned the
value of the bet and looked elsewhere. Frustrating to
then see her win easily at 5/1 when 13/2 was easily
available before the race. I hope that what happened
was obvious to people. It shows the randomness of
advising bets. I have always said it’s just an artificial
excercise that shackles and constricts us both and
I still believe that. No problem though. One of those
things. I thought I was doing the right thing at those
prices to look elsewhere but it didnt turn out too well.

T u e s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Held our own yesterday with a bet free message
based only at Wolverhampton. There were just 5
previews and we came out with two winners. The
prices were short enough but we did enough to
hold our own and results suggest a score draw.

M o n d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Yesterday showed yet again how profiling and using
statistics still work and can be devestating at times.
Its often the human element that sometimes spoils
that process but this method is working. Thought it
was a very smart message. BREAKHEART lost as
one of the top of the message horses but he failed
only by under a length and he may easily have won.
The othet bet REFLECT won at 7/1 having been far
bigger in the morning. There were 3 other races on
the day in the bottom of the message and we found
one 3/1 winner in Lord Buffhead and two losers and
overall from 5 previews I was pleased with results.

S a t u r d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Pleased with Saturdays Cheltenham dominated
message. We had 3 winners from the 7 previews
and that included CAPE TRIBULATION the best
bet in the message. I can’t remember a race as
compelling as that for a long time. Brilliant to be
on the winner in a race like that and it really did
whet the appetite for the Cheltenham Festival in
March. It shows how much the National Hunt is
missed when the weather turns bad but it looks
like we should get it back now which is pleasing


There was an improvement on the already impressive form shown by Mathematician Betting this week. Daily reviews of the selections are listed below.  I’ve highlighted some somments in the review of Mondays selections which i confirm what i’ve been saying about the service for a long – its far too understated. If you’re just looking at his reviews of the previous days you’d be understandably thinking the service is just ok whereas its much, much better than that.

More details here

 

S a t u r d a y ‘s   R e v i e w

Has to be one of the best Saturday messages in a while
and I was overdue one like that. There have been strong
Saturday messages recently without a main bet winning
but MISS MILBORNE winning at 7/1 was just what was
needed. Overall I was happy with the work done given it
is the hardest day of the week. It didnt get going until a
few races in but the middle of the message was strong
and finished well and overall there were enough winners
to call it a very good message especially with the main
bet winning and it augurs well for the National Hunt too.

 

T h u r s d a y ‘s  M e s s a g e

It was a day where we were always chasing our tail and never managed to catch it. There wasn’t a bet but we ended up down on the previews with only one winner and some places. It was  a day where a coupole of big priced horses went very close to winning and we needed one to go in to finish ahead. Overall it was a message that underperformed and we finished behind.

 

W e d n e s d a y ‘s  M e s s a g e

I thought it was a very good message yesterday and with a bit more luck the three main bets could all have produced a profit. The 1st of my bets HAZY TOM won at15/8 making sure it could not be a bad day. I went with two win bets with the each way  double on INTHAR and LILAC TREE and we had a winner and a second and that landed a nice profit. That was very unlucky as the fast finishing INTHAR should have won and that would have produced two winners and the each way double. We did nick  a bit on the bet though. It was ROLLIN ´N TUMBLIN the main bet. Frustratingly he was 4th having suffered interference just as he was starting his run and the way he finished I think he would have been second or third and given his price it was still a pretty good run just not enough and I think we had the
placed taken away from us. Happy with the three bets overall and the rest of the message did very well. Sods Law I advised you to ignore it all but there were plenty of good winners there and overall it was quite a good message that deserved better.

 

 

T u e s d a y ‘s  M e s s a g e (6th November)

Short message yesterday and definately a speculative one that came with a warning that expectations were low. In the end from the five previews we had 2 horses placed and just a small loss. It could have been a good day if Pull The Pin had only held on in the photo having been backed from his morning price of 11/1 all the way down to 4/1. We didnt get the breaks but it happens and far from a complete disaster.

M o n d a y ‘s M e s s a g e (5th November)

High class message yesterday. Started badly with some less than Impressive Hurdle bets but it then began to fire. The Wolverhampton results were nothing short of outstanding. GUNG HO JACK won 8/1 and shortly after MOSCOW CHANCER won at 7/1 as well leading a 1-2-3 on the shortlist. DARK LANE won at 7/1 as the saver but the main bet in the race LASTKINGOFSCOTLAND placed each way as well turning that into a nice little profit in a race I had spot on. That
wasn’t it though as FOX APPEAL won at 8/1 in a split stake with a place winner. GHIZAO also won making that 5 outright winners. My headline bet POWERFUL WIND each way returned the full stakes. He did exactly what I said he would and I thought he was going well enough to win but the favourite beat him late but well staked and no
loss involved. My style in messages has often been deferential and downbeat when looking forward or backwards over messages. The quality of the work is good enough to be far more positive about the results we are getting week in and out in the message. There is so much luck picking the strongest bet each day and the process can be corrupted by many things like timing issues and the long detail in messages but overall the quality is unrivaled and the work is the most groundbreaking out their on the commercial market. I do not say that enough. The truth of the matter is its cutting edge work.

S u n d a y ‘s M e s s a g e (4th November)

Half a message on Sunday as my network provider went down
for hours. It looked doubtful there would even be a message at one stage so the day was written off. Quite surprised that the Cork Grand National forecast provided the 1st 2nd 4th and 5th albeit in the wrong order. In the end it showed the statistics in the race worked and were important and I might dip into a few of the bigger Irish races from time to time if the angles allow it.


Another good week for Mathematician Betting which has been typical of the service pretty much since i first looked at it back at the beginning of February. I’ve just copied and pasted Guys reviews of the previous days selections.

More details here

Thursday ‘s M e s s a g e

A fine days work and an impressive message. We didnt get the jackpot as STEVIE THUNDER was only second but he still did his part in the each way double and NORTH CENTRAL was the highlight winning easily at 7/1. That made sure we had a decent winning day. COLD KNIGHT went down frustratingly in a photo but we were on each way and still managed to nick a bit. That was a smart message. Some superb groundwork that allowed us some perspective about some of the horses and what these had to do not least in North Centrals race. Overall it was smart.

W e d n e s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

The three bets I highlighted yesterday returned a loser and two placed bets each way. A Small loss but not too unhappy with it given I wasn’t certain about much of it. Edgware Road lost by a short head photo with the saver in 3rd so another inch and we’d have won good money and he did nothing wrong at all and that wasn’t too bad a start. Highlife Dancer got beaten and ran badly and that just left Aussie Reigns to nick us a bit of place money
and the overall position was managable if a bit behind but there was the potential for losing a lot more so overall I’m fine with it.

T u e s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Short message yesterday with some big priced horses and
probably too ambitious in the end. Nothing back from the 3
races I looked at. All my bets finished just behind the places and ran quite well but none of them really looked like winning.

M o n d a y ‘s R e v i e w

For a Monday it was a very strong message. Started off with a good winner just like Saturday’s message and I was getting excited before it turned sour with 3 very weak bets and it started to look in a lot of trouble. Then Barathea Dancer won to stretch the lead and that was
needed as well. By then we had only had unstaked bottom message choices. The best was yet to come. The two bets I staked both won. Kuwait Star won backed from 14′s to 7/1 and Glossy Posse won as well backed from 7/4 to 11/8. That made for a very smart message.

S a t u r d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Looking back at Saturdays message it started dynamically with 3 quick winners two of which were big prices. After that it folded tamely. I felt the middle of the message was wobbly and said so but dissapointed that it collpased a bit. That said the early winners got us some way ahead and it was a long way from a bad message. When the main bet goes down it’s hard to be too positive but STEPS and CAPTAIN DUNNE were both big priced horses and could hardly be seen as probable winners. It felt to me a better message than it was probably recieved. After all despite
lots of previews I only staked in 5 races and we had a 7/1 winners that was enough to cover stakes on all 5 bets. We had another winner and a place as well from these 5 staked bets not bad at all. It suggests the message was probably too long. Carlito Brigante flopped and that may well be down to having too hard a recent race which was something I
didn’t anticipate. I dont think it was a bad message but it never really reflected the fact that the best 5 options did well and that its annoying.


Probably not given Mathematician Betting enough credit over the last year because its been consistently profitable, educational and honest. Thought i’d reproduce the daily reviews of the past week to give you an idea of how its going. As usual got to say a highly impressive service which has been around for ever – and that cant happen without either slick marketing (definitely doesnt have that) or satisfied customers (definitely does have those). Highly recommended.

More details here

F r i d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Has to be said it was a high class message yesterday from top to bottom. There were 3 bets at the top of the message with two winning securing a decent profit. The bottom of the message did very well almost catching fire. If we ignore the races that had just shortlists which were succesful anyway we ended up with about 12 selections in the message. There were 6 winners and a place] and only 5 losers and overall a very intelligent well planned mail.

T h u r s d a y ‘s R e v i e w

Honours even yesterday much as we finished a little
in profit fromthe 3 options. I came away with a small
profit from the saver on No Dominion but I shortlisted
3 horses there and they finished 1st 3rd 4th so could
have been a lot more lucrative. Nothing from the next
bet but INFINITUM won easily to put us a bit ahead.

M o n d a y ‘s R e v i e w

There was no message yesterday. I posted on the board
I needed a days break after a long stint. That just leaves
Mondays message to review. I went with HAAJES as the
bet and maid him a full bet and he ran ok but didn’t have
the legs. I have had a short break from the account and
needed that as well. The service is much more than just
the top of the message and given the time of year and a
lot of bad weather and Monday was the first time I have
had a bet in a while. My other option Shawkantango ran
second each way so a loss on the day but no surprises
given the prices and the state of the racing in October.

S a t u r d a y ‘s R e v i e w

I think the message more than did itself justice yesterday
and in places it was highly impressive. We finished about
level from the four options we had. On the positive side
Strange Magic won easily to start us off and he made sure
we couldn’t lose on the four bets. It was dissapointing that I didn’t get another winner from the 4 bets to reward that message. I probably wasted a couple of bets looking for a big priced horse. The Options though broke level but the bottom of the message was quite impressive. There were
good winners at 4/1 15/2 and 11/4 as well and I felt that
we got the better of the day and deserved more than just
breaking level on the four bets. I think it won on points.

highly recommended service for both education and profit
More details here


Mathematician Betting Update

Someone contacted me some time ago about their views on this service so i just thought i’d reproduce them below to give the perspective of personal experience.

Yup Maths is a good bloke.
I was with him a few years ago but had to leave when my circumstances changed and I could no longer use his messages.
I was tempted in again for Cheltenham month and am having a great time.

These days most want to take short cuts. He is a rare case who believes in very hard work. He always struck me as very honest as well. He calls a spade a spade as they say.

The service is run honestly and straight forward too. I have come across shifty operations that once you join up do all they can to try and lure you into paying more such as odds to bets for so called inside info. Just a con game. Maths puts 100% effort into his normal service and that’s it. Not once did he try and sell me anything else.

He reminds me in ways of a small local shopkeeper. No super slick marketing but instead depending on treating people fairly and squarely , providing a good service in the hope they stay and recommend him to others.

highly recommended service for both education and profit
More details here


Mathematician Betting Update

Dont suppose its an update as such but just an observation that the service continues to be profitable for its subscribers. i know from personal experience that quite a few visitors are renewing with the service month on month which i suppose is all you need to know. just thought it was worth mentioning and i’ve attached monday, tuesday and wednesdays summary section of the daily emails to give non-subscribers an idea of the knowledge level that Guy brings to the service.

highly recommended service for both education and profit
More details here

W e d n e s d a y ‘s S u m m a r y

Turned into a really top quality confidence boosting
message yesterday. I didn’t have enough time to pick
a bet but I might not have done one anyway. From 3
options we had 2 good winners. CONE DONKEY got
us off to a good start and delighted to get the negative
beaten. BRASINGAMAN ESPEE won at 8/1 and that
was a fascinating bit of analysis that could easily have
gone wrong. It insured the message was excellent and
the loser on Chosen One didn’t detract much from it
especially as there were several other winners as well.
No complaints at all yesterday and it was good work.

T u e s d a y ‘s S u m m a r y

Short message yesterday with a busy period taking it’s toll
and I ended up with just two previews. I was trying to be a
bit too clever in the seller but FLEET DAWN did win the
Novice Hurdle and at a surprisingly generous 9/4. That did
enough to make it a reasonable message albeit a short one.

M o n d a y ‘s S u m m a r y

Much better yesterday with a stronger overall message.
It started with the first 3 bets winning at decent prices.
That happens a lot and when it does you tend to think
when the main bet comes around it will fail because so
many others have won. The first part of yesterda’s bet
did fail as No Larking ran 5th but NEZAMI won easily
at 8/1 and took the bet into profit. I had to convince
myself to go with him. I was aware it was very soft at
Newcastle and he is by Elnadim and his softer ground
form is very patchy. Also aware in the morning there
was no horse that was weaker in the betting. No idea
if that was down to doubts about the ground or not or
whether he wasn’t particularly fancied but it caused a
few mind games. I knew I had the right race for a bet
but I was very tempted by Rapid Waters instead but I
was just put off by the low average official ratings of
that horse and stayed with the winner. Good day and
it was about time. Not easy at the moment. There is
a daily dilemma about what to go with. So many bets
are rejected as so many others are on them and prices
have gone. Others are rejected when they drift badly
and there is no obvious reason for that. Luck plays a
huge factor at times and yesterday it smiled on us.


Mathematician Betting Update

No update on this service for too long and thats no reflection on the service but rather a reflection on me. As previously stated this is a highly professional (the most professional i’ve ever seen) horse racing service which can be used at whatever level you choose.

You can take all the bets on the message which can be a lot of bets but now & again will provide a massive return – ie last week the overall return was about 50/1 – or you can just take the bets & the mentions. Guy reccomends taking this option initially as this will create a steady growth in your bank & give you confidence in the service.

The service is a real pleasure to be part of just because you can appreciate the effort and level of expertise required to produce the daily email you receive.

Highly recommended

More details on the service here


Another big priced winner from this service yesterday- details below. As stated previously been majorly impressed with Guys service – so far its been a fantastic combination of being educational and at the same time (and most importantly) providing winners. The daily email is so packed full of information i’m not sure how he does it by 11am every day but i suppose if you’re been providing selections for as as this service has you’re going to know what you’re looking for. The beauty of it is though you can, as i’m doing’ just take the ‘selections’ & ‘mentions’ and ignore the rest of the message. I’ve attached yesterdays email to illustrate below.

Kempton 6.40
BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET 7/1
Win Bet

More details on the service here

Total Profit +£2337

1 Mention Today

Kempton 6.40

BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET 7/1

Win Bet

The Racing is slowly getting better this week but its only
in small steps. It has been dreadful so far. Stronger today
as you’d expect but its that time when the All weather is
on its last legs and the National Hunt in limbo and a flat
season is just around the corner. Betting all year round is
bound to see peaks and troughs. We had a very big peak
at Cheltenham with around 13 points profit which puts
us in a seriously good position in March. Since that peak
we have hit that trough. Boring racing. Boring messages
and we have dropped 3 points. All you have to do really
is find profit and maximise it during the Peaks but when
you get the troughs keep losses to a bare minimum and
don’t be afraid to walk away and not have bets everyday.

It has been quite depressing but 13 points won and 3 lost
since then shows we have played this trough right going
through a dull period very cautiously. I’m trying to find
bets and strong messages but I’m relaxed as it is obvious
that we are not being offered much. Today is better and
I want to see more winners today . The annoying thing
in some of the races a few too many make the shortlist
and its just a little bit more competetive than I’d want.

Today’s Options For Bets

Kempton 5.40

SHERJAWY Win Bet 4/1
FORTY PROOF Saver Bet 4/1

Kempton 6.40
BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET 7/1
Win Bet

Kempton 8.10
STREET POWER
Each Way 4/1

I thought long and hard about the options today. It is
obviously a day where choosing the wrong option is a
possibility. I’m going with BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET.
He is the least likely of my best options but he is also
the biggest price and comes with less complications
and will meet fewer fancied horses so whilst a risk at
the price I am happy he is worth a small bet today.

T o d a y s N e g a t i v e

Lingfield 3.00 – JAKE THE SNAKE

S t r o n g e s t S t a t i s t i c T o d a y

Ludlow 2.20

* This is a Novice Claiming Hurdle
* I looked at every one of these races
* Thats all year round and every distance
* I looked at fillies aged 4
* None managed to win with under 3 previous runs
* Those that tried it had a 0-148 record
* One did win a 4yo only race (Ma Petite Rouge)
* None though against all aged horses
* PONTE DI ROSA fails that and is rejected
* Look to oppose her rather than lay her

T u e s d a y s R e v i e w

It was a weak days racing yesterday and I predicted if
you gave it a miss then you would not be dissapointed
and it turned out that way. There is nothing much to
brag about and one of the days where hands were tied
and caution the sensible option and the best policy.

****************************************************
****************************************************

P R O F I L E S @ P R E V I E W S

N a t i o n a l H u n t

Ludlow 2.20

11/4 Ponte Di Rosa, 7/2 Argaum, 7/2 Cityar
4/1 A Little Bit Dusty, 8/1 Redhotdoc, 9/1 Bin End
33/1 Fairy Trader, 66/1 Simplified.

This Novice Claiming Hurdle is quite a rare race. I can’t sort it out but I had PONTE DI ROSA as a negative but as she is not shorter in the betting there may not be enough edge for us. PONTE DI ROSA is a once raced filly. I looked at what few similar races there are like this in March and April and found horses with 1-2 runs really struggling. In fact look at fillies who run in these races at any time of year and at any distance. Fillies with under 3 runs like PONTE DI ROSA are 0-148 all year round so you can see why I feel lighter raced horses are wrong here. That said I think she has drifted out too much. I’d have laid her at 7/4 but anything over 4/1 is too big especially when she is one of the very few with a recent run and good recent form and when you also consider several others have difficult tasks and seem to be struggling for form its more complicated. I would prefer a handicapper than aan auction horse so perhaps ARGAUM and A LITTLE BIT DUSTY are the safest options given the choice. Its very messy though with hardly any in form.

ARGAUM Win Bet
A LITTLE BIT DUSTY Saver

L u d l o w 2.50

10/11 Young Mags, 7/2 Blowing A Hoolie, 8/1 Like Ben
8/1 Miss Harriet Lewis, Kabira, 20/1 Small And Mighty
25/1 Ben Eva.

This is a Mares Novice Hurdle over 2m 5f. The issue will
be about what performance YOUNG MAGS brings to the
race after a bad run 125 days ago. I tend to agree with the
Racing Post that although unsafe she offers far more than
the rest. I couldnt bet BLOWING A HOOLIE coming via
onlya 4yo race when starting 66/1 in that race. Its a sort
of race where if YOUNG MAGS doesnt win anything can
but the sensible choice for me is YOUNG MAGS.

L i n g f i e l d 3.00

* Messy 6f seller
* JAKE THE SNAKE wouldnt be my 1st choice
* Not aged 11 with 1 run since last June
* CATALYZE – I’d see him as a danger and optional saver
* WATERLOO DOCK would be my first choice

L i n g f i e l d 3.30

3/1 Sabys Gem, 5/1 Blueberry Fizz, 5/1 Dorothy´s Dancing
8/1 Avonvalley, 8/1 Royal Envoy, 8/1 True Satire
10/1 Efisio Princess, 12/1 Flaxen Lake, 20/1 Luisa Tetrazzini 20/1 Metropolitan Chief, 25/1 Custom House, 25/1 Tamino.

* This is a 6f Handicap for 0-60 rated horses
* LUISA TETRAZZINI is a mare absent 225 days
* Very few mares won first time out and none as old as her
* LUISA TETRAZZINI has the worst draw as well
* TAMINO is 9 and got well beaten last time
* No horse as old as him overcame a big defeat at 7f
* DOROTHY´S DANCING is a 4yo filly
* She comes from a 5f race
* Fillies aged 4 from 5f races were just 2-71
* None had more than 9st as she does
* Those without a run within a week were just 1-55
* That winner had more backclass than her
* TRUE SATIRE is a filly with an absence
* No fillies won as inexperienced as she is
* Claimer ridden she has a bad profile
* EFISIO PRINCESS is a 9yo mare absent 33 days
* Only one mare won aged 7 or more
* She ran within 2 weeks and had more backclass
* CUSTOM HOUSE is not running well enough
* BLUEBERRY FIZZ is a 4yo filly
* She won a 6f handicap last time out
* There were 4 fillies like her doing that
* These finished 3 W 3 7
* I’d pass her as statistically fine but she has some issues
* She has a 7lbs claimer on her back
* BLUEBERRY FIZZ is also drawn 12
* Look at handicaps here with 9 + runners
* There have been 20 so far in 2012
* No winners were drawn 11 or 12 (0-20)
* Go back further to 2012 and 2011
* You need to go back another 22 races for one
* The last Stall 11 or 12 to win was Febuary 2011
* Its not a good draw and with the claimer she is unsafe
* METROPOLITAN CHIEF is an exposed 8yo
* He was well beaten last time over 7f
* I found 1 similar winner to him

S h o r t l i s t

* FLAXEN LAKE is an exposed 5yo
* He comes from a 6f handicap within 2 weeks
* He has Class 4 form and no higher
* I found 2 similar winners so he is shortlisted
* FLAXEN LAKE has a good chance

* ROYAL ENVOY is 9 and comes from 6f
* He has Class 2 form and a run in 2 weeks
* Despite his age its a good profile
* I found 3 similar winners and he msut be respected
* I think his biggest problem is a 0-7 record here
* He seems to love Kempton and hasnt ran here at 6f

* AVONVALLEY is an exposed 5yo mare
* She comes from a 6f handicap within 7 days
* She has 2 or more runs this callender year
* Similar horses had a 3-4 record
* AVONVALLEY is a strong positive
* His run in Febuary really caught my eye
* I tipped her to win a race on March 3rd
* She was a non runner that day
* She next ran on March 21st and I didnt fancy her
* Missing March 3rd race meant she was absent 34 days
* She still managed a fine second at Kempton
* AVONVALLEY could have better drawn than stall 11
* She is still a big positive though

* SABYS GEM is a 4yo male
* He won a 6f handicap last time out
* He has Class 4 form and a recent run
* SABYS GEM has also had 7-8-9 career starts
* Horses with this profile had a W W W record
* SABYS GEM comes out as a very strong runner
* His trainer is a nightmare to read though

Selection

FLAXEN LAKE 8/1 Win Bet
SABYS GEM 4/1 Saver Bet

T a u n t o n 3.40

Evs Woodlark Island, 9/2 Millers Reef, 11/2 Jackers
13/2 Dukes Art, 8/1 Southway Star, 11/1 Be Kind.

This is a handicap hurdle just short of 2m 4f. I find it hard to oppose WOODLARK ISLAND with a recent win. There
are holes in the profiles of some of his rivals. I looked for horses like DUKES ART from Novice hurdles with 3 runs
and found the winners younger and carrying less weight so
he just fell short. The Maiden Hurdlers that won all came
from 20f or more and MILLERS REEF does not. I think
SOUTHWAY STAR is a threat and I have found 2 mares
aged 7 winning after a long absence. They were similar in
a lot of ways to SOUTHWAY STAR and the price does
tempt me here. Perhaps WOODLARK ISLAND may be
a sensible split stake bet at 5/4 with the other half stake
on SOUTHWAY STAR at the bigger price. Short of that
there is a case for SOUTHWAY STAR against a decent
favourite and I would prefer this pair to the others here.

L i n g f i e l d 4.00

5/2 Copper Canyon, 3/1 Ay Tay Tate
7/2 Moresweets ´n Lace 6/1 Kiss A Prince
8/1 Edgewater, 12/1 Jawaab, 12/1 Timocracy.

This is a 12f handicap. First off the list is EDGEWATER
who has a shaky profile anyway as an exposed horses and
up in distance when lacking a run in a month. Worse still
he’s by Bahamian Bounty a horse that has got an appaling
record with his offspring at this distance. If any win then
it may well be here but two powerful reasons not to select
him. MORESWEETS ´N LACE is next to go as she has a
horrific absence for a mare and none like her have won a
similar race. I think a combination of factors will damage
TIMOCRACY’s chance not least an absence and step up
in trip especially with just 1 run since last November.

* KISS A PRINCE – Hard to read. Not sure he is in form.
* JAWAAB – I’d have been happier with a more recent race
* Especially for an 8yo and he was only average in profile
* AY TAY TATE – I’d prefer a run within 2 weeks
* I would still see him as a positive
* COPPER CANYON – Hard to read but enough to shortlist
* COPPER CANYON just looks the safest choice

T a u n t o n 4.10

15/8 On Khee, 2/1 Aine´s Delight, 5/2 Caravel
13/2 Run Along Boy, 25/1 Della Sun.

This is a 2m 1f Handicap Hurdle. I see DELLA SUN easy
to avoid. There is also some weakness in ON KHEE here.
I couldnt match her to a winner. Not as a 5yo mare thats
up in trip and has just 4 runs. Of course she can win given
a small field but she is statistically weak and priced up on stable reputation. Not sure about CARAVEL with such a
long absence and topweight and just 3 runs this year. He’s
not a negative. Neither is RUN ALONG BOY another to
face a long absence but another that isnt easy to match.
My choice would be the mare AINE´S DELIGHT as she
brings form and fitness into the race something lacking
in most others. I like AINE´S DELIGHT best of all.

L i n g f i e l d 4.30

5/4 Red Senor, 5/2 Sugar Prince, 7/2 Samba Night
6/1 Chart, 20/1 Christopher Chua

Difficult maiden race for 3 year olds over 5f without much
knowledge of how horses have wintered. The only winners
I founded similar to CHART from handicaps were fillies so
I cant match her exactly. We have to guess anyway but I’d
be happier if I could match a winner. SAMBA NIGHT and
RED SENOR are seasonal debutants and the fact he’s raced
twice more hurts SAMBA NIGHT and of the two the best
profile belongs to RED SENOR. I see SUGAR PRINCE as
weak hammered only 8 days ago over further. It’s hard to
see past RED SENOR who is only a circumstantial choice.

L i n g f i e l d 5.00

11/4 Court Applause, 100/30 Estonia
9/2 Ability N Delivery, 10/1 Befortyfour, 10/1 Billy Red
12/1 Nine Before Ten.

* This is a 5f handicap for 0-75 rated horses
* COURT APPLAUSE won a 5f handicap last time
* I looked at 4 year olds doing that without a recent run
* Most ran within 2 weeks and only one managed longer
* COURT APPLAUSE is not a negative but its a weak profile
* I really wanted a more recent race for a last time winner
* Not convinced he is drawn well either
* BEFORTYFOUR – no benefit of the doubt with his absence
* ESTONIA is an exposed mare absent a month +
* I wanted a more recent run for a mare
* NINE BEFORE TEN – I dont see her as fit
* Not as a filly with 1 bad run since October
* BILLY RED – Don’t feel he offers enough

Selection

* ABILITY N DELIVERY – Hard to read but a positive
* He gete the benefit of the doubt about his backclass
* His Irish form confuses his profile but I rate him fine
* ABILITY N DELIVERY – Risky but a speculative choice

K e m p t o n 5.40

9/2 Howyadoingnotsobad, 5/1 Forty Proof
5/1 Wreningham, 6/1 Invigilator, 7/1 Sherjawy
8/1 Athwaab, 8/1 Sarangoo, 10/1 Porthgwidden Beach
16/1 Dingaan.

* This is a 5f handicap for 0-62 rated horses
* I looked for horses absent more than 12 weeks
* There were 4 winners doing that
* Fillies with that absence and more were 1-70
* SARANGOO fails that and is different from the sole winner
* SARANGOO has more runs and doesnt appeal
* HOWYADOINGNOTSOBAD is a 4yo debutant
* I looked at all debutants and they all had 12 + runs
* HOWYADOINGNOTSOBAD has only had 8 runs
* I wanted a closer match for a first time out horse
* WRENINGHAM noy a good enough profile
* He is an exposed 7yo on a career high mark
* He lacks a recent run and has ran once in only 88 days
* No wins at Kempton he looks unsafe
* ATHWAAB – Exposed mare without a recent race
* Not too far off being acceptable but one flaw
* All similar winners did better than her last time
* DINGAAN is 9 and drops in trip
* No more than 1 winner was like him
* That horse had a longer absence
* That raises the question if he did enough last time
* Possibly not and he looks unsafe

S h o r t l i s t

* INVIGILATOR is 4 and down in distance
* I looked at similar 4 year olds with 7-12 runs
* There was one similar winners and he is shortlisted
* PORTHGWIDDEN BEACH is an exposed 4yo filly
* She comes from a 5f handicap
* With a recent run she is a positive
* PORTHGWIDDEN BEACH comes out well
* FORTY PROOF is exposed aged 4 and down in distance
* He has backclass and a good recent run
* I found 2 similar winners and like his profile
* SHERJAWY is 8 but has a recent run over 5f
* There are winners like him and he has to be considered

Selection

I just see SHERJAWY and FORTY PROOF having more
substance and proven ability than my other 2 shortlisted.
I would see both as worth including if anyone wants a bet.

SHERJAWY Win Bet 5/1
FORTY PROOF Saver Bet 5/1

* Kempton 6.10 – I’d have avoided Lady Mandy
* Dont like her up in trip and a first time out filly
* I suspect one of COURTESY CALL and SAUCY CAT wins

K e m p t o n 6.40

5/2 Lesotho, 4/1 Mitie Mouse, 5/1 J J Leary
6/1 Bookiesindexdotnet, 6/1 Macdonald Mor
8/1 Blodwen Abbey, 10/1 Fugitive Motel.

* This looks a dangerous 5f handicap for 3 year olds
* LESOTHO is a filly with 2 runs first time out
* Statistically thats a bad profile and she is wrong
* The problem is what to oppose her with
* MITIE MOUSE has an absence and a bit too much weight
* J J LEARY has to prove he can cope with a 5f race
* BLODWEN ABBEY doesnt appeal
* FUGITIVE MOTEL – No winners came from 7f claimers
* BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET has to be a positive
* I found 2 winners just like him with recent runs
* Not very attractive frame with just 7 runners
* BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET has the best profile
* BOOKIESINDEXDOTNET at 7/1 + would be my choice

K e m p t o n 7.10

11/4 Unlimited, 3/1 Indian Art, 4/1 Alpha Tauri
9/2 Spinning Ridge, 6/1 Cheylesmore, 8/1 Finefrenzyrolling.

This is an unpleasantly framed 7f claimer. I would have to
avoid INDIAN ART with just 1 run in Months and I think
he falls short of the required level of fitness. I felt the same about CHEYLESMORE who looks unsafe as well. I couldn’t bet FINEFRENZYROLLING. These would be negatives in
the race. I can live with any of the others none of which I
see as particularly strong. SPINNING RIDGE could be one
for a saver with a recent run. UNLIMITED the main bet.

K e m p t o n 8.10

11/4 Haamaat, 4/1 Intercept, 5/1 Ducal, 5/1 Street Power
10/1 Dozy Joe, 10/1 Dubarshi, 16/1 Masai Moon
20/1 Majuro, 20/1 Ocean Legend, 20/1 Polar Annie
33/1 Rajeh.

* This is a 7f handicap
* HAAMAAT is a very sexy runner
* I dont like her profile though and cant match her
* Looked at 4yo fillies up in distance
* None won like her with so few races
* INTERCEPT also has a bad profile
* DUBARSHI – Wouldnt be my first choive
* MAJURO – Respected but I’d want a more recent run
* DUCAL – Every chance and one to consider
* STREET POWER each way looks the best bet

Selection

STREET POWER Each Way 4/1

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